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Polling
General Election
Roger Marshall (46%) vs Barbara Bollier (42%)
Undecided (6%) & Other (6%)
Margin of Error: 4%
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Until about three days ago, the race remained as close as it could possibly be. But even though Marshall looks like he might just begin to pull ahead, the four percent margin of error prevents us from knowing who's really on top.
This neck and neck race comes down to undecided voters!
Polling on Issues
Issue 1: Gun Regulation
Margin of Error: 5%
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Even in the most conservative states like Kansas, a little bit of gun regulation is not out of the ordinary. In fact, about 90% of those surveyed favored having at least some sort of background check before distributing guns, and the majority of individuals favored some sort of gun regulation for every question.
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Bollier has stated that she favors background checks, but she will not confiscate guns, whereas Marshall has said that he will never interfere with an individual's ability to defend oneself.
Issue 3: Healthcare
Margin of Error: 3%
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This poll is surprising, in that it is virtually identical (but opposite) to the first one! Both Bollier and Marshall began their professional careers as doctors, but Bollier supports the Affordable Care Act (and abortions) whereas Marshall does not. Bollier appears to have a slight lead, but we can't be too sure with this margin of error.
Issue 2: Taxing
Margin of Error: 5%
Only 20% of individuals would favor an increase in taxes and spending, whereas about 50% prefer a decrease in taxes and spending. Marshall has stated that he will decrease taxes and spending from government programs in the economy; Bollier will do the opposite, raising costs to keep Medicare, Medicaid, ObamaCare, and a clean environment.
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Conclusion
These four polls demonstrate how strange the Kansas Senate Elections have shaped out to be. Bollier wins some polls (ex: gun regulation) by a large factor, Marshall wins some polls by equally as large a margin (ex: taxing), and some issues (ex: healthcare) are so tight that neither has a clear victory. These conflicting opinions on whom to support have led to an almost perfect split for the general election among the people in Kansas. In the end, it's up to those who haven't decided yet to choose, on November 3rd, Kansas' newest member of the Senate.
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